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JaguarsGab Roundtable – Week 3 Game Predictions – Jax vs. Ind

Maxwell Lee:

Jacksonville RB Maurice Jones-Drew has more or less demanded the ball, and the coaches will be willing to oblige. With the Colts’ run defense (aka S Bob Sanders) sidelined by injury, this should open the door for the long-sustained drives that typified Jaguars success last season. On the other side of the ball, QB Peyton Manning showed his mettle by leading Indy back from a 15-0 deficit in Minneapolis. If Manning gets TE Dallas Clark back in the lineup, the Jaguars might struggle to control the Colts’ passing attack. This game could easily go either way and a key turnover will be the difference. I say the more desperate team wins.

Jacksonville – 27, Indy – 24


Cole Pepper:

The Jaguars and Colts are both banged up. The Jaguars are working with replacements at both guard spots and at center and wide receiver Jerry Porter hasn’t suited up as a Jaguar yet. The Colts have been working without center Jeff Saturday, although he could be back this week. Indianapolis will be without starting tackle Tony Ugoh and safety Bob Sanders and Peyton Mannign is still playing on a bum knee.

The Jaguars spent the first two weeks looking like a passing team. They haven’t used running back Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew, their two biggest play makers, enough. I expect that to change on Sunday. The Colts have had a tough time stopping the run, allowing 181 yards per game and an astounding 4.8 yards per carry this year.

The Colts lost their opener at Lucas Oil Stadium to the Bears and the jury is still out on the kind of home field advantage the Colts will have compared to the RCA Dome.

The Jaguars can’t win a shootout. They need to keep the score down and pressure Manning if they are going to win.

That being said, Peyton Manning is still Peyton Manning and the Jaguars haven’t produced much of a pass rush yet. I’ll take the Colts 24-17.


Alan Wilson:

The Jaguars are 1-6 lifetime playing at Indianapolis (the one win came in 2004 on a game-winning FG toward the last minute of the game from K Josh Scobee). The average score of matchups played between the Jaguars and Colts in Indianapolis (since the AFC South was formed in 2002) is 21-16 in favor of the Colts. The teams always play hard, and the game’s outcome is usually defined on the Jaguars having committed more turnovers than the Colts.

QB Peyton Manning usually has his way with the Jaguars pass defense in Indianapolis because of little to no pressure from Jacksonville. Will the draft picks of DEs Derrick Harvey and Quentin Groves pay off as this is exactly why they were drafted? Manning’s usually stout offensive line is slightly banged up. And though you don’t have to sack Manning, you can put pressure on him and disrupt his timing.

The typical theory is that if you run the ball against Indianapolis, you control the clock and keep Manning and company off the field. I expect the Jaguars to take advantage of the 28th ranked run defense in Indianapolis and run, run, and run some more. The Colts, even without S Bob Sanders, have a legitimate guy named Melvin Bullitt who could have an impact. The Colts usually do a good job of plugging in guys and not losing too much steam.

I think this is the game the Jaguars needed: to finally be under the radar again. They seem to thrive as the underdog (not as a media darling). I’m going to give the edge to the Jaguars in this game as they rebound in another close ball game with the Colts.

Jaguars 24, Colts 20

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